เอกสารการประชุมวิชาการและเสนอผลงานวิจัย มหาวิทยาลัยทักษิณ ครั้งที่ 19 2552 - page 650

„µ¦ž¦³»¤ª·µ„µ¦Â¨³Áœ°Ÿ¨Šµœª·‹´¥ ¤®µª·š¥µ¨´¥š´„¬·– ‡¦´ÊŠš¸É 19 ž¦³‹Îµže 2552
8
˜µ¦µŠš¸É 2 —ŠŸ¨„µ¦ž¦³¤µ–‡nµ´¤ž¦³·š›·ÍĜ‹Îµ¨°Š°»žšµœÂ¨³°» žŠ‡roµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´ ˜ªr°ŠÅš¥
¤„µ¦ constant ‡nµ´¤ž¦³·š›·Í˜´ªÂž¦°· ¦³
1. ¤„µ¦ÁœºÊ°š¸ÉÁ¡µ³ž¨¼„ (A t)
DW = 2.347
R2 adj = 0.88
2. ¤„µ¦Ÿ¨Ÿ¨·˜˜n°Å¦n (M t)
DW = 1.645
R2 adj = 0.80
3. ¤„µ¦°»žŠ‡r oµªÃ¡— (QDM t)
DW = 1.691
R2 adj = 0.74
4. ¤„µ¦ž¦·¤µ–„µ¦œÎµÁ o µ (QIMt)
DW = 2.156
R2 adj = 0.64
5. ¤„µ¦¦µ‡µ µ¥nŠ o µªÃ¡— (PM t)
DW = 2.425
R2 adj = 0.98
0.631708
(0.394) ns
296.602565
(3.223)**
1.3869
(3.906)**
369.577
(5.908)**
1.2338
(7.369)**
0.44463PMt-1
(1.487) ns
[0.231271]
32.927PM t-1
(1.860) *
[0.2667]
0.00213KQt
(4.439)**
[0.440]
-19.017PIM t
(-5.556)**
[-1.28445]
0.6537PXMt
(15.716)**
[0.70639]
0.86718At-1
(8.451)**
[0.897698]
-0.0048PF t
(-0.221) ns
[-0.0418]
-0.0719PMt
(-0.656)ns
[-0.0847]
-80.71 D1
(-1.500) ns
[-0.2990]
0.076PIM t
(1.497) ns
[0.01477]
-0.000375RPt-1
(-2.334)**
[-0.20633]
0.0523 Rt
(3.996)**
[0.2087]
0.000186GDPt
(0.577) ns
[0.0983]
-186.574 D2
(-2.811)**
[-0.3072]
0.3069D1
(3.017)**
[0.0327]
0.0425D2
(0.247) ns
[0.0020]
š¸É ¤µ : ‹µ„„µ¦ª·Á‡¦µ³®rĜ‡°¤¡·ªÁ˜°¦r Program SPSS ª· ›¸ two stage least square
®¤µ¥Á®˜» : ĜªŠÁ¨È ( ) ‡º° ‡nµ t-value [ ] ‡º° ‡n µ‡ªµ¤¥º—®¥»nœ
ns = Ťn¤¸œ´¥Îµ‡´šµŠ™·˜·
.* = ¤¸œ´¥Îµ‡´šµŠ™·˜·š¸É¦³—´ ‡ªµ¤ÁºÉ°¤´É œ¦o°¥¨³ 90
** = ¤¸œ´¥Îµ‡´šµŠ™·˜·š¸É¦³—´ ‡ªµ¤ÁºÉ°¤´É œ¦o°¥¨³ 95
2. Ÿ¨„¦³š °ŠœÃ¥µ¥„µ¦‡oµÁ¦¸š¸É¤¸ ˜n° oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr£µ¥Ä˜o„¦° °Š°Š‡r „µ¦„µ¦‡oµÃ¨„¨³
¥»š›«µ˜¦r‡ªµ¤¦nª¤¤º°šµŠÁ«¦¬“„·‹ °·¦³ª—¸-Á‹oµ¡¦³¥µ-¤nà Š (ACMECS)
Ÿ¨„µ¦«¹„¬µŸ¨„¦³š °Š oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´ ˜ªr˜µ¤ o°˜„¨Š °Š°Š‡r„µ¦‡oµÃ¨„(WTO) ¨³¥»š›«µ˜¦r
‡ªµ¤¦nª¤¤º°šµŠÁ«¦¬“„·‹°·¦³ª—¸ -Á‹oµ¡¦³¥µ-¤nà Š ACMECS ×¥¤¸ „µ¦¨—°´˜¦µ£µ¬¸¨Š¦o°¥¨³ 81 Á®¨º° 20
¨³ 0 nŠŸ¨„¦³š˜n°„µ¦Ÿ¨·˜ „µ¦Äo¨³¦µ‡µ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr —´Šœ¸Ê
Ÿ¨„¦³š °ŠœÃ¥µ¥„µ¦‡o µÁ¦¸š¸É¤¸˜n° o µªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr ץčoo°¤¼¨Äœže “µœ 2532-2537 Ĝ„µ¦
‡Îµœª–¤¸—´Šœ¸Ê¦µ‡µœÎµÁ oµ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr¨—¨Š¦o°¥¨³ 75.30 nŠŸ¨„¦³šŸn µœ¦µ‡µšÎµÄ®o¦µ‡µ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr
Ĝž¦³Áš«¨—¨Š¦o°¥¨³ 6.51 ÁœºÊ°š¸ÉÁ¡µ³ž¨¼„ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr¨—¨Š¦o°¥¨³ 1.015 ®¦º° 96.32 ¡´œÅ¦n Ÿ¨Ÿ¨·˜˜n °
Ŧn°Š o µªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr¨—¨Š¦o °¥¨³ 1.634 ®¦º° 7.11 „·Ã¨„¦´¤˜n°Å¦n Ÿ¨Ÿ¨· ˜ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê ¥Š´˜ªrš´Ê Š®¤—Äœ
ž¦³Áš«¨—¨Š¦o°¥¨³ 1.66 ®¦º° 6,816 ˜´œ ž¦·¤µ–„µ¦œÎ µÁ oµ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªrÁ¡·É¤ ¹Êœ¦o°¥¨³ 5.57 ®¦º° 4.335
¡´ œ˜´œ ž¦·¤µ–„µ¦¦·Ã£‡ oµªÃ¡—Á¨¸Ê¥Š´˜ªr Ĝž¦³Áš«Á¡·É¤ ¹Êœ¦o°¥¨³ 24.42 ®¦º° 791.20 ¡´œ˜´œ