full2010.pdf - page 1508

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The Comparison of Time Series Analysis Through Box-Jenkins and Second Degree of
Exponential Regression: A Case Study of Exported Value of Thai Canned Tuna
掜µœ¸ ®³¥¸ µÂ¨³1 ¨³ž¦¸—µ£¦–r „µ‹œÎ µ¦µªŠ«r 2*
Rosanani Hayisalae 1 and Preedaporn Kanjanasamranwong2*
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t t 1 t-1 ˆY Y 45.126241 0.427354e- = + -
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2 t t
t 1.00002) ( 1.098677) ( 2434.486) ( Yˆ
‹µ„„µ¦Áž¦¸¥Áš¸¥š´ÊŠ 2 ª· ›¸ ×¥¡·‹µ¦–µ‹µ„‡nµ‡ªµ¤‡¨µ—Á‡¨ºÉ°œ„ε¨´ Š°ŠÁŒ¨¸É¥ (MSE) ¡ªnµ„µ¦¡¥µ„¦–r×¥ª·›¸„µ¦
™—™°¥š¸É¤¸ œªÃœo¤ÂÁ°È „ŽrޜœÁ¸¥¨„ε¨´Š°Š ¤¸‡ªµ¤Á®¤µ³¤¤µ„„ªnµ ª·›¸p °„-Á‹œ„·œr
‡ÎµÎµ‡´ : „µ¦ª·Á‡¦µ³®r°œ»„¦¤Áª¨µ p°„-Á‹œ„·œr ª·›¸„µ¦™—™°¥š¸É¤¸ÂœªÃœo¤ÂÁ°È„ŽrޜœÁ¸¥¨„ε¨´Š°Š
„µ¦¡¥µ„¦–r ž¨µš¼œnµ„¦³žl°Š
1 œ· ·˜ µ µ‡–·˜«µ˜¦r¨³™·˜· ‡–³ª·š¥µ«µ˜¦r ¤®µª· š¥µ¨´¥š´„¬·– ¡´š¨»Š 93110
2 °µ‹µ¦¥r µ µ‡–·˜«µ˜¦r¨³™·˜· ‡–³ª·š¥µ«µ˜¦r ¤®µª·š¥µ¨´¥š´„¬·– ¡´š¨»Š 93110
Lecturer, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Thaksin University, Phatthalung, 93110.
* Corresponding author : Tel. 2552, Email :ypreedaporn@hotmail.com